Topps opens hobby presales for 2026 Mint Disney tomorrow, October 13. The product has already been in collectors' hands for four days, since it debuted at the Topps booth at New York Comic Con on October 8. Boxes have been opened on camera, singles are listed on eBay, and the chase cards have names attached to them.
What nobody has is an odds sheet.
That is the unusual part. A year ago, the first Mint Disney release arrived with a full odds table before hobby boxes shipped: autographs at roughly one per twelve packs, acetate inserts at one per three, a cut signature at one per 15,830. This year, with presales hours away, the published checklists still read "the manufacturer has not published final pack odds for this product yet." If you are deciding whether to put money down tomorrow, you are deciding on vibes, a partial checklist, and whatever you saw in a break.
Here is what the box actually is, what it costs on a per-card basis, and how last year's version has held up -- because that is the only real evidence available.
Eleven Cards, One Box
The configuration is the first thing to internalize, because it drives everything else. A 2026 Mint Disney box contains one pack of ten cards plus one encased card. Eleven cards total. Ten boxes to a case.
That is not a typo and it is not a sample pack. Eleven cards is the product. There is also one numbered parallel guaranteed per box, which is the structural reason the price sits where it does -- Topps is selling a guaranteed serial-numbered hit and ten cards of packaging around it.
The base set runs four tiers -- Bronze, Silver, Gold, and Platinum -- in increasing rarity, with a parallel Chrome version of the set layered on top. Chrome runs up through refractor tiers to a SuperFractor one-of-one. There is also a FoilFractor at the top of the foil side. Insert sets confirmed so far: Minted in Magic, a Chrome insert line; Minted Posters, built from Disney movie poster artwork, with Toy Story 5 among the featured subjects; and Comic Cut Relics, one-of-ones containing pieces of historic Disney comic magazines.
The Checklist Is Doing the Heavy Lifting
Topps did not lead with characters this year. It led with people.
The Chrome Autograph list includes Miley Cyrus signing as Hannah Montana, and all three Jonas brothers -- Joe, Nick, and Kevin -- signing as Shane, Nate, and Jason Gray from the Camp Rock films. If you came up on the Disney Channel between 2006 and 2010, that is a very deliberate piece of targeting, and it reaches a buyer who has never opened a hobby box in their life.
Compare that with the 2025 autograph list: Tom Hanks, Keira Knightley, Orlando Bloom, Melissa McCarthy, Halle Bailey, Jodi Benson, Susan Egan, Naomi Scott, Dan Stevens. Film actors and voice legends. Twenty-five signers, all numbered to 75.
Both lists are strong. They are strong for different buyers, and that matters for resale. A Jodi Benson autograph sells to animation collectors. A Hannah Montana autograph sells to anyone who was eleven in 2007, which is a much larger and much less price-disciplined group. Expect the Cyrus and Jonas cards to spike hard early and settle unevenly, the way nostalgia-driven singles usually do.
The Price Nearly Doubled
Here is the year-over-year comparison that should shape your decision.
In 2025, the NYCC box sold for $150 at the Topps booth, and hobby boxes went for $319.99 through an EQL raffle. In 2026, the NYCC box sold through an EQL raffle at $279.99. Same eleven-card format. Roughly an 87 percent increase on the convention box.
Hobby pricing for 2026 has not been announced. That is worth sitting with for a moment: presales open tomorrow and there is no published MSRP in circulation. What exists is retailer listing behavior, and it is not encouraging. DA Card World has the NYCC-exclusive box listed at $799.95. Steel City Collectibles has it listed with no price and no configuration details at all. Secondary asks on sealed NYCC boxes run roughly $695 to $1,000.
Run the per-card math, because eleven cards makes it unusually clean:
- 2025 NYCC box at $150: about $13.64 per card
- 2026 NYCC box at $279.99: about $25.45 per card
- 2026 NYCC box at a $799.95 retailer ask: about $72.72 per card
Those last two numbers are the ones to weigh. At raffle price you are paying mid-twenties per card for a guaranteed numbered parallel plus ten cards. At retailer ask you are paying roughly the price of a graded modern single for each piece of cardboard in the box, sight unseen, with no odds published.
What the NYCC Box Has That the Hobby Box Will Not
Keep the two products separate in your head, because sellers will not.
The NYCC box came in Jack Skellington packaging and carries NYCC-only content: Platinum parallels numbered to 10, and a Jack Skellington insert numbered to 99 or lower, described as the first Jack Skellington card Topps has ever produced. The 2025 release worked the same way, with a Genie Magic Lamp insert numbered to 99 available only in NYCC boxes, and separate Platinum exclusives for each channel -- Red and Blue Electric Dots Foil numbered to 10 for NYCC, Black Shimmer Foil numbered to 10 for hobby.
So a hobby box bought tomorrow is not a cheaper NYCC box. It is a different box that shares most of a checklist. If a listing says "NYCC" and the photo shows standard packaging, that is a listing to walk away from. The Jack Skellington art on the wrapper is the tell, and it will be the single most faked detail in this release.
What 2025 Actually Taught Us
Sealed 2025 NYCC boxes currently carry asks from about $305 to $1,000 against a $150 booth price. Sealed 2025 hobby boxes ask around $650 against $319.99. Those are asking prices, not sales, and the spread between $305 and $1,000 on the same item tells you exactly how thin the real market is -- when sellers cannot agree within a factor of three, there is no established price.
The honest read: the 2025 product did not collapse, and the convention box outperformed the hobby box on a percentage basis because of the exclusive inserts. That is a real pattern and it is likely to repeat. It is also the pattern most likely to be quoted at you tomorrow by someone who wants you to buy at $800.
How I Would Play October 13
Four things, in order.
Wait for the odds. You are being asked to presale a product whose hit rates are unpublished. There is no version of that trade that favors you. Odds will come, and they will come before product ships.
Decide whether you want cards or a box. With eleven cards per box and named autographs already visible on the secondary market, singles are the efficient path to the specific card you want. If the Hannah Montana auto is what you actually want, buy the Hannah Montana auto.
If you want sealed, want it for the Skellington. The NYCC box has content the hobby box cannot have. That is a defensible reason to pay a premium. "Disney cards are hot" is not.
Set a per-card ceiling before you open a tab. Twenty-five dollars per card is a premium product. Seventy-three dollars per card is a different decision entirely, and the only thing separating those two numbers is who you buy from.
Key Takeaways
- 2026 Mint Disney hobby presales open October 13; the product launched at NYCC on October 8 and no official pack odds have been published yet.
- The box is eleven cards: one ten-card pack plus one encased card, with one guaranteed numbered parallel. Ten boxes per case.
- The NYCC box went from $150 at the booth in 2025 to $279.99 by raffle in 2026, roughly an 87 percent increase on an identical format.
- No hobby MSRP has been announced. Retailer and secondary asks on the NYCC box run from about $695 to $1,000.
- Chrome Autographs include Miley Cyrus as Hannah Montana and all three Jonas brothers as the Gray brothers from Camp Rock -- a nostalgia-driven buyer base, not a traditional hobby one.
- NYCC-exclusive content includes Platinum parallels numbered to 10 and the first Jack Skellington card Topps has made, numbered to 99 or lower. Verify the wrapper art before paying an NYCC premium.
Prices move quickly in this corner of the hobby, and the figures above are estimates drawn from listings and raffle pricing rather than settled sale averages. Treat them as a starting point for your own checking, not a valuation.